Why Make Your Own Point Spreads?

When you go to place a bet, how do you evaluate the value of the point spreads that your online betting site is offering you?  Do you grab the schedule, check the point spreads, and try to decide which bet makes the most sense based on how many points you see?  Or do you pick the schedule up, come up with your own numbers first, and then compare them in search of the best value?

The second method is significantly more work than the first, but it is also a great deal more methodical.  While you can certainly draw some conclusions by looking at the schedule and the points that the bookies have set, those conclusions will be vague at best.  If you come up with your own point spread first though based on your own knowledge and analysis, you will understand what is going on when you look at the bookmaker’s point spread.  This is the only way you can really be sure that you are getting a fair price.

How do you make your own point spread?  There are a ton of different approaches you can choose from.  You might use previous betting lines and results, or you could analyse statistics, team form, and more.  Within each of those areas of analysis, there are numerous strategies that you can employ.  Look online and you will find hundreds of betting systems you can try, some of them simple, others complex. 

No matter what method you use, so long as it is one you have tested and which has a solid basis, you are giving yourself a huge edge.  Always make sure that you look at the schedule and your data before you glance at the lines that your UK betting site is offering.  You do not want the existing lines do influence you when you come up with your own point spread.  You want your analysis to be as clear and bias-free as possible.

Only after you have come up with your own point spread should you look at what your online betting site is offering you.  You can then compare the two.  You will probably see a lot of areas where your point spread and the bookie’s overlap closely.  But you will also see areas where they diverge.  These discrepancies are what you want to pay close attention.  This is generally where you are going to find the best value. 

This entire practice has two huge benefits.  Firstly, it helps you to identify good deals from bad deals when you are looking at betting lines.  Secondly, it forces you to do the hard work to actually make a solid prediction as to who is going to win and who is going to lose—or whatever outcome you are specifically wagering on.  While creating your own point spread is hard work, it will pay off in more way than one.  Once you have a great betting system in place, you will be ready to make some amazing profits!